Is Doximity Inventory a Purchase Now?


Healthcare networking platform Doximity (DOCS -4.72%) went public in late 2021. The inventory practically doubled simply months later, however has since cooled off on this bear market. The inventory is down 68% from its excessive, greater than giving again these fast post-IPO features. Is the inventory destined to rebound or was it simply one other dangerous funding {that a} euphoric Wall Road propped up in 2021?

Doximity permits healthcare professionals to community, educate themselves, and talk with sufferers, offering readability in a notoriously advanced trade. However there are some query marks concerning the inventory’s long-term funding potential. Take into account these key observations earlier than deciding whether or not Doximity belongs in your portfolio.

Tapping out buyer development

Doximity calls itself “the digital platform for medical doctors.” It is free for physicians to hitch. Doximity generates income on subscriptions it costs to pharmaceutical and healthcare system corporations that pay to promote or entry the consumer base for hiring.

Being extremely specialised could be a double-edged sword. On the one hand, Doximity has traction with its goal market; the corporate estimates that 80% of physicians within the U.S. are on Doximity.

However however, development can endure as you saturate your goal market. Doximity got here public with roughly 600 subscription prospects, most of them paying for advertising providers. You possibly can see beneath how a lot income development has slowed since Doximity’s been public. Understandably, income development will sluggish in case your promoting companions are beginning to max out their spending on the platform.

DOCS Income (Quarterly YoY Progress) knowledge by YCharts

Doximity proclaims that it serves all the U.S.’s high 20 pharmaceutical corporations and hospitals. That underscores the worth the platform creates, however the firm should monetize its prospects and community members in new methods. In any other case, income development might proceed stagnating. Analysts appear to imagine Doximity’s development is stalling; estimates name for earnings-per-share (EPS) development averaging simply 4% over the following three to 5 years. 

Buying and selling at a development inventory’s valuation

The inventory’s most vital drawback may very well be that investor expectations do not align with the potential actuality of Doximity’s forward-looking efficiency. The inventory trades at a ahead price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 48, virtually triple that of the S&P 500, averaging practically 10% development over its lifetime. Doximity is hardly a development inventory if these projections for 4% earnings development show correct, and one might count on the inventory’s valuation to say no consequently.

Chart showing fall in Doximity's PE ratio since early 2022.

DOCS PE Ratio (Ahead) knowledge by YCharts

The present gulf between Doximity’s valuation and anticipated development (or lack thereof) ought to give buyers pause earlier than shopping for the inventory. This may change if Doximity can present uptrends in new income streams, however I’ve at all times argued that buyers must be particularly choosy in bear markets when there are declining share costs throughout the board. However till then, Doximity seems to be too costly to justify placing new cash into the inventory.

Justin Pope has no place in any of the shares talked about. The Motley Idiot has positions in and recommends Doximity. The Motley Idiot has a disclosure coverage.



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